Why Mortgage
Borrowers May Need Protection
Mortgage
borrowers transact infrequently, in some cases only once in a lifetime, which
means that (unlike purchasing cheese) they do not have an opportunity to learn
from experience. Because the transaction amount is large, furthermore, the cost
of a mistake is extremely high.
The
likelihood of mistakes, furthermore, including deliberate ones induced by
unscrupulous loan providers, is high. This reflects the complexities of the
transaction, and the fact that the loan provider understands them a lot better
than the borrower – a condition referred to by economists as “information
asymmetry”.
In
most mortgage transactions, the lender writes the contract, and often the
borrower doesn’t see it until the closing. Many of the contract provisions are
complicated and difficult for borrowers to understand. Mortgage pricing can
also be complicated, including multiple lender fees as well as interest rates
subject to adjustment. There may also be fees charged by third parties involved
in the transaction.
In
addition, because mortgage transactions take a lot of time, the borrower
scheduled to close on the purchase of a home reaches a point of no-return with
a mortgage lender when there is no longer enough time before the closing date to
find another lender. That leaves the borrower committed to the home purchase
entirely at the mercy of the lender.
Imperfect
Markets Versus Imperfect Government
The
fact that consumers are not being well served by an imperfect market is a necessary,
but not a sufficient condition for justifying intervention by Government. Governments
are also imperfect, and the remedies they bring to markets may be worse than
the disease. Sometimes, furthermore, markets will cure themselves in time if
Government stays out of the way.
The
case for intervention, therefore, should be based on a considered judgment that
the market will not fix the problem itself, that intervention will
fix the problem, and that the new problems created by the intervention will be
less serious than the one that has been fixed.
Alternative
Modes of Protection
Governments
have attempted to protect mortgage borrowers in any or all of the following
ways:
Market-oriented economists opposed to all
types of government regulation usually make an exception for markets
characterized by extreme information asymmetry. It
is well understood that markets don't work well when one party to transactions has vastly more information than the
other.
Because mandatory disclosure is designed to
make markets work better, it is viewed much
more favorably than price controls, which distort the allocation of credit; or
contract controls, which reduce the options available to consumers.
The home mortgage market is a
textbook case of information asymmetry. One
party is in the market continuously, the other very infrequently -sometimes only once or twice in a lifetime.
Furthermore, transactions can be extremely complex. There may be multiple
instruments from which to select,
multiple options with each instrument, complex pricing arrangements, and
frequent price changes. For the borrower, there may be a lot to learn and very
little time in which to learn it.
To be sure,
complexity varies greatly from one country to another -- the US has the most
complexity by far. Many other countries are moving in the same direction, however, propelled by the same forces
that have operated in the US: the development of secondary markets
and increasing competition. In the European Community, integration is
intensifying these pressures. Countries
moving rapidly toward greater complexity in their home loan markets, and
therefore toward greater information asymmetry, will need to consider mandatory disclosure.
Perhaps the most important principle for
making disclosure policy effective is that the number of items that must be
disclosed be limited to 10 per day. If the process extends over 2 or 3
days, the number of mandated items can be
increased to 20 or 30. I will explain where these numbers come from shortly.
The rationale for this rule is that consumers
have a limited attention span. If you feed them too
much at one time, they can't absorb it. Disclosures in the US are so voluminous that for most borrowers they are
useless. Disclosing everything has much the same effect as
disclosing nothing, since most people will
absorb nothing.
Beginning in 1998, I began writing a newspaper
column on mortgages that invited questions from readers. I have
fielded about 12,000 questions since then, and one
recurs with amazing frequency: "Why wasn't I told about...?" The content of the question varies over time, e.g.,
in 2002 it was mostly about prepayment
penalties. But the question usually applies to something that was in fact subject to mandated disclosure,
as prepayment penalties are.
Every
borrower in the US receives a Truth in Lending (TIL) disclosure that reveals whether or not the loan has a prepayment penalty.
But this critical item is shown in the middle of a large form full of other
information, some of it distracting, most of
it useless. Further, the TIL is received by the borrower on the same day
he receives multiple other disclosure forms.
As far as the regulator and the lender are concerned, disclosure
about a prepayment penalty is made when the
borrower receives the TIL. Yet a large percentage of borrowers in fact don't
know whether or not they have one. Mandated disclosure is ineffective because
of information overload.
Where did I get the 10 items of information
referred to earlier as the limit on disclosed
items? From my crystal ball. The correct number may depend on the nature of the disclosed item and many other factors,
some of which will vary from country to country. I'm not trying
to sell that particular number. I'm trying to
sell the idea that there should be such a number.
Setting limits means setting priorities. As a
general matter, setting the number low and
selecting the most important items increases the probability that those items
will be effectively disclosed. As the number of disclosed items increases to
include items of less importance, the probability that the most important items
will be effectively disclosed declines.
A reader has pointed out to me that some
borrowers could extract what they need from the most overblown set of
disclosures, suggesting that I have overstated the
case. I don't agree. Borrowers who know what to look for don't need mandatory disclosure; they can get the
information they want by asking for it. Mandatory disclosure is for
borrowers who don't know what to ask for, and therefore don't know what to look
for in voluminous disclosures.
Responsibility
for mandatory mortgage disclosures should be lodged in one agency. That agency
can be held accountable for the results, whereas if there is more than one agency involved, none of them will
be fully accountable.
With multiple agencies, furthermore, limiting
the number of disclosure items will be extremely difficult. Neither agency is
likely to consider the impact of the other on the borrower's
capacity to absorb information. If the agencies are
required to consult, expect a turf war in which each is convinced that its items should have priority. In
addition, divided responsibility may lead to competing
disclosure formats, which confuse borrowers.
In the US until very recently, responsibility was
divided between the Federal Reserve System (FRS), and the Department of Housing
and Urban Development (HUD). Divided responsibility seemed early on to be a completely
logical solution to two different problems. One problem was a wide diversity in
the way in which the cost of credit was calculated and reported between
different types of credit, and by different lenders in the same market. The legislative remedy, called
"Truth in Lending" (TIL), applied to all
consumer loan markets, not just home mortgages. It was natural to delegate
regulatory responsibility to the FRS, which, as the central bank, had broad
responsibilities for all loan markets.
The second
problem was a series of abuses in connection with real estate settlement
charges. The legislative remedy, called Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act
(RESPA), pertained only to real estate markets. Hence, it was natural to
delegate regulatory responsibility to HUD, which was the principal Federal
housing agency.
But the price
of divided responsibility was an ineffective disclosure system. Each agency developed its own disclosure form, without any consultation with the other. The
total number of items on both forms was grossly excessive, with useful
information intermixed with useless information. There was no way for a borrower to reconcile the information on the two forms.
The system of divided responsibility ended in 2012 with
the creation of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which took over
responsibility for all mortgage-related disclosures.
Disclosing the Cost of Credit
The cost of
credit is the centerpiece of mandatory disclosure. A critical requirement for effective disclosure of credit cost is
comparability. A quoted credit cost of "6%" by
lender A should mean the same thing as a 6% quote by
lender B. Further, the true cost of a 6% mortgage should be identical to that of a 6% automobile loan and a 6%
personal loan.
Conceptual uniformity: One requirement of comparability is conceptual uniformity. The most widely used concept for measuring
interest cost is the internal rate of return (IRR). On a mortgage, the IRR is
(i) in the equation below:
Controls on
Interest Rates
Government
imposed price controls almost always take the form of a maximum interest rate.
In theory, if the market power of lenders maintains market rates above what
they would be under competition, Government could make the market work better
for borrowers by setting a maximum rate equal to the competitive rate. But this
would require that Government have the knowledge and tools needed to determine the competitive
rate, the discipline required to apply this knowledge consistently, and the
flexibility to adjust the rate as needed, which could be daily. This is too
much to expect of government.
More
likely, government will set the rate too low, resulting in few loans being
made, or too high which may result in market rates higher than those that would
have prevailed otherwise. So long as there are multiple loan providers that
borrowers can shop, Governments should leave the interest rate unregulated.
Controls on
Lender Fees
Shopping
is less effective if borrowers have to concern themselves with differences in
lender fees as well as in rates. The worst of all worlds for borrowers is the
practice of charging different fees for different services, which are not fully
disclosed until the borrower is well along in the transaction.
Government
can easily take fees out of the picture by setting a single charge for all
lenders. This would allow borrowers to shop the interest rate. A second best
would be to require that every lender post one price covering all their
services. Borrowers would then have to consider differences between lenders in
fees as well as in rates, but at least they would know what these are upfront.
Controls on
Third Party Charges
The
mortgage process may involve services contributed by third parties, such as appraisals,
credit reports, title insurance, flood insurance, mortgage insurance, and
closing/recording services. Borrowers will be over-charged for these services
if they are required to pay for them. If lenders are required to pay for these
services, passing the cost along in their rate and fee, it will cost borrowers
less.
Lenders
pay less for third services than borrowers. Lenders purchase in bulk and are
knowledgeable purchasers, borrowers aren’t. When lenders purchase, the service
providers must compete in terms of price. When borrowers purchase, they rely on
the lender to select the service provider, who compete for referrals from
lenders. This is sometimes referred to as “perverse competition” because it
raises prices rather than lowering them.
Bottom
line: Government should require that any service required by a mortgage lender
as a condition for the granting of a mortgage must be paid for by the lender.